Intel’s stock dropped around 30% overnight, shaving some $39 billion from the company’s market capitalization since rumors of a pending layoff first emerged. The devastating results come after the chip giant reported a loss for the second quarter, complained about yield issues with the Meteor Lake CPU, provided a modest business outlook for the next few quarters, and announced plans to lay off 15,000 people worldwide.

When the NYSE closed on July 31, Intel’s market capitalization was $130.86 billion. Then, a report about Intel’s massive layoffs was published, and the company’s market capitalization dropped sharply to $123.96 billion on August 1. Following Intel’s financial report yesterday, the company’s capitalization dropped to $91.86 billion. Essentially, Intel has lost half of its capitalization since January. As of now, Intel’s market value is a fraction of Nvidia’s worth and less than half of AMD’s.

As Intel’s actions look rather desperate, analysts believe that Intel’s challenges are existential. “Intel’s issues are now approaching the existential,” Stacy Rasgon, an analyst with Bernstein, told Reuters.

  • Boozilla@lemmy.world
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    3 months ago

    When I had to flash my BIOS and pray that it didn’t brick my PC I cursed them, saying “Fuck Intel, I hope their stock plummets!”

    You’re welcome everyone.

    • ByteOnBikes@slrpnk.net
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      3 months ago

      I grew up in an era where IBM reign supreme.

      A decade ago, it dipped to 1990s level but now it’s pretty up there in value again.

      I don’t understand tech company stocks at all.

        • 𝓔𝓶𝓶𝓲𝓮@lemm.ee
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          3 months ago

          Yes, it seems like people always forget about inflation. Okay yes your one milion will be two millions in 14 years at 5% yearly but it will be worth only 1.25 million corrected for inflation so you just made 25% over 14 years. And that’s for just 3% year to year inflation.

          So companies must at least grow by inflation rate to stay afloat.

          Inflation is a word that haunts me to be honest. It is 8% here right now.

    • VantaBrandon@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      Oh how the mighty have fallen

      I can still recall my first PC, I used to love smashing the turbo button. No fucking clue what it did, but it sure was fun to press!

      • gcheliotis@lemmy.world
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        3 months ago

        Exactly, everything was measured by how well Intel did, they were the undisputed standard bearer.

    • ✺roguetrick✺@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      Nvidia doesn’t want to be in the foundry business. They actually like having to make other foundries compete for their business.

          • crusa187@lemmy.ml
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            3 months ago

            First of all, I just want to acknowledge how humorous the point you’re making is given your name, Zek.

            Second, I hear you. What I’m saying is that in the states we have seen a disturbing lack of interest in trust busting over the past 20-30 years, and it’s led to some ridiculous monopolization in some markets. Tech is definitely one area that suffers from this. You’re right that EU regulators could push back on this if they wanted to, but think about what that might mean if nvidia/intel decided to play hardball. We are presently in a golden age of AI where nvidia’s products are basically the mainstay of the entire market…it could really set the EU back competitively if they chose to refuse those products at this particular juncture. I think they would face enormous pressure to simply accept the deal, in this hypothetical.

            • Crashumbc@lemmy.world
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              3 months ago

              Huh? We’re discussing the merging of two US companies. So I’m not sure what you’re going on about. Unless you honestly think the EU (the only ones that could even try) would try to over rule the US about two of its own companies. ROFL

              • TheGrandNagus@lemmy.world
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                3 months ago

                Yes? Like they regularly do?

                The US, EU, and UK all took issue with Nvidia trying to buy ARM.

                The UK and EU had to approve Microsoft buying Activision.

                The US is not the only country in the world.

              • captainlezbian@lemmy.world
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                3 months ago

                Yeah it’s not like Australia can stop them, only force the sale of their Austrian branches. And while that may affect neighboring countries like Croatia and Antarctica it won’t stop the fact that the majority of the company is in one of the Unions of States of America

  • Aetherion@lemmy.world
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    3 months ago

    This will happen to the whole tech industry. Once people realise that Moores law is dead. Intel is just the beginning and „A.I.“ will not safe them.

      • Zarcher@lemmy.world
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        3 months ago

        The effort required to keep increasing resistors in a chip is just too high at some point. And the power required to run all the chips is becoming unsustainable. Besides that, hardware companies are way over valued if you look at earnings / market cap

    • boonhet@lemm.ee
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      3 months ago

      Intel also released two generations of CPUs that just die under heavy loads.

    • Valmond@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      If I got a snickers every time I heard moore law is dead I’d be obese.

      Any moment now, any moment.

      • tempest@lemmy.ca
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        3 months ago

        It is dead.

        The only reason it seems like it’s not is because AMD server CPUs are just getting physically larger and larger

        • Valmond@lemmy.world
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          3 months ago

          Check out 3D stacked ram for example. Moores law isn’t about some size measure.

          And now I have to eat another snickers…

            • Valmond@lemmy.world
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              3 months ago

              Well yes exactly.

              Edit: you just showed the law is still alive and kicking:

              It is dead.

              The only reason it seems like it’s not is because AMD server CPUs are just getting physically larger and larger

              • tempest@lemmy.ca
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                3 months ago

                Fair enough.

                Though if density is irrelevant then the entire thing is meaningless.

                Should instead be talking about how large of a silicon wafer can be produced.

      • hogmomma@lemmy.world
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        3 months ago

        If you can tell what the person means, there’s no reason to publicly correct their spelling or grammar.

        • raspberriesareyummy@lemmy.world
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          3 months ago

          Hard disagree. Common mistakes ruin grammar because other people will adopt these. And when written language becomes ambiguous due to people not using proper grammar, that’s a very important foundation of “words have no meaning” fuzziness employed by populists, and in effect dumbs down people.

          • hogmomma@lemmy.world
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            3 months ago

            I said “publicly.” I wasn’t commenting on the fact that you corrected someone, but the fact you did so publicly.

            • raspberriesareyummy@lemmy.world
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              3 months ago

              The mistake is public. This is where people see it and should also see the correction. The fact that you get your knickers in a twist over a simple word correction, is worrysome. It’s not like I said “lol u so dumb OP”.

  • Lets_Eat_Grandma@lemm.ee
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    3 months ago

    There is absolutely no way intel is going under any time soon. They may drop more but it’s almost certain that they will recover.

    I don’t understand a valuation that puts them under AMD given how poor amd’s market share is in the gpu market (which intel is now a new valid competitor in for the budget space) alongside the fact that intel’s cpu market share is higher than AMD by a large margin.

    I’m saying all this as a huge AMD fan. I have a 5800x3d and a 6800xt. I made our work standard laptop be amd based as I set the standards for my organization in my work role. I know my choice is the minority choice. Even in datacenter intel has an overwhelming lead.

    • ඞmir@lemmy.ml
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      3 months ago

      How is Intel’s GPU marketshare any better… Last I heard they were selling their chips at a loss

      • Lets_Eat_Grandma@lemm.ee
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        3 months ago

        They are not doing better in the gpu marketshare. They are a new challenger in that space and are no where near getting the lead. The point I was making is that they are just getting into that space, and if they are successful at chipping away at nvidia’s giant high margin market share they can very possibly make a ton of money in that space.

        Their GPUs however are fairly good price/performance for consumers, meaning they are building market share in that space. Like any business starting out at something they are losing money to gain market share. That’s how capitalism works today. You lose money to gain popularity until you get so much market share you can turn screws to make significant profits.

        Intel’s bread and butter is CPUs. They are the majority market share in the highly lucrative desktop cpu, mobile cpu and datacenter cpu space.

    • Buddahriffic@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      It’s because the stock market is closer to a casino than a place where fair valuations of businesses are made.

      Also, market cap is just the latest trade price times the total number of shares. It doesn’t mean that anyone is willing to buy or sell the entire business for that amount, just that some shares were traded at a price that extrapolates to that.

      It’s kinda like getting an A on your first assignment in grade 1 and assuming that means you’re a straight A student and will maintain that until you finish your doctorate. Or getting an F and assuming you might as well just drop out.

      The closest thing to reality market cap really says is that investors who are making current trades believe that AMD will surpass Intel at some point. Or that they aren’t comparing either company directly to the other and just go by feeling plus the price history. “I feel more confident in AMD today, therefore the price should be higher than it was yesterday. I feel less confident in Intel today, therefore the price should be lower than it was yesterday.” It doesn’t even really matter if yesterday’s price was accurate, it’s all just relative to itself and fed by fear and greed.

      • Lets_Eat_Grandma@lemm.ee
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        3 months ago

        Preach. I’m just worried for when nvidia pops. The grumblings about the machine learning fad are starting to happen but that’s a company that is incredibly likely to lose 80% of revenue in 5 years once businesses see how the huge investments flop.

        There’s some strange belief that chat bots being semi-coherent is going to turn into true AI and take over all the white collar jobs. The more popular chatbots become the poorer the data quality will be. It’s inevitable that all the bots posting on all the social media sites will poison the datasets especially as more and more turn to chatbots to generate content.

        Peoples imaginations are running wild. I think if 2% of the use cases pan out it will be a wild success but ML is not new and entire divisions have been scrapped for failing to turn a profit (looking at Alexa, for sure.) When the pop happens the drop will be so significant the ripples may cause a recession all by itself.

    • mightyfoolish@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      The moment Arm decided it should follow the Huawei ban, China started to invest in their own silicon at a staggering rate. After all, Apple already proved you can start a CPU design from scratch and be fine while Risc-V already offered a royalty free architecture to base their work off.

      I know GamersNexus has also covered Chinese CPUs based on x86. I forget the details, maybe AMD let them license their IP?

      • orrk@lemmy.world
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        3 months ago

        if your internationally sanctioned IP suddenly means a lot less, what is the US going to do? sanction them?

    • Tja@programming.dev
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      3 months ago

      Sanctions were never supposed to stop china’s semiconductor industry. They were to stop/slow down China from acquiring chips short term. This is quite a strawman argument.

        • Tja@programming.dev
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          3 months ago

          Again, sanctions were on chips and import lithography. They have lots of trouble importing Nvidia chips, or at least more cost. Of course the country where a lot of chips are made will continue making chips. But while Taiwan was putting 3nm chips in phones a year ago, China is producing 5nm headlines, chips on mass scale yet to be seen.

          What did people expect, China to go back to the stone age?

    • Pilferjinx@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      China is definitely going to replace the US as the next empire if they play their cards right. It just sucks that the population is so socially oppressed to the point it may break them if they encounter an adverse phenomenon they can’t adapt to.

  • cygnus@lemmy.ca
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    3 months ago

    Brutal, nearly the lowest since 2008. Makes me want to buy in at this point.

    • bluGill@kbin.run
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      3 months ago

      The market does tend to overreact so this is possible a sign to buy low. I can’t be bothered to check the fundamenals but it seems unlikely that amd is a better investment long term. If you are not looking at least 5 years to the future stocks are a bad idea.

        • ✺roguetrick✺@lemmy.world
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          3 months ago

          And the frank truth is, if things heat up on the Taiwan straight, TSMC is toast and Samsung won’t be able to pick up the slack.

          • trolololol@lemmy.world
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            3 months ago

            It’s going to take 3d chess from China to put their hands in TSMC without US bringing in “democracy”. That factory is more strategic than oil.

            • ✺roguetrick✺@lemmy.world
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              3 months ago

              It ain’t worth a nuclear war. Why do you think the feds are so focused on domestic manufacturing? The Arizona TSMC factory is just shipping workers from Taiwan it’s so dependent. I’d hate to see what the actual supply chain looks like.

      • brucethemoose@lemmy.world
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        3 months ago

        AMD is super hot right now. Not in a good way.

        I bought AMD at $8/share (and am still holding it), and I’m getting a similar vibe from Intel now…

        • cygnus@lemmy.ca
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          3 months ago

          I bought AMD at $8/share (and am still holding it)

          Wow, I’d have dropped that hot potato ages ago.

          • brucethemoose@lemmy.world
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            3 months ago

            I am glad I didn’t lol. Still not, the datacenter GPUs are something else, and so is their multi-chip design prowess.

      • conditional_soup@lemm.ee
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        3 months ago

        OTOH: Boeing. Had the 737 Max bug been a one-off incredibly bad fuck up, they would have been a good buy. Then it turned out that that bug was just the first sign of many deep seated issues with their production process. Boeing 100% deserves everything they’re getting. Management skipped right over lawful, chaotic, and neutral evil and went into stupid evil, and decided that sacrificing QC/QA on aerospace equipment would be a great way to get returns for shareholders.

        • krashmo@lemmy.world
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          3 months ago

          They didn’t skip those steps. The market just ignored the fact that they’ve been stepping through those options for the last 30 years because that’s what the market as a whole has been doing. As cliche and annoying as it sounds, this is exactly what late stage capitalism looks like. Once growth through sales becomes difficult, usually from approaching monopolistic size in a market, they only have two options left. They can either cut corners and headcount to save on operational expenses or they can decrease revenue growth. Considering the fact that the central thesis of our economy is the idea that infinite growth is not only possible but the only valid pursuit of any corporation it’s easy to guess what they’re going to do when faced with declining sales or any other detriment to growth.

        • trolololol@lemmy.world
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          3 months ago

          Haha stupid evil

          I’ll use that any time I think about politicians as well. Trademark that fast mate

  • CalcProgrammer1@lemmy.ml
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    3 months ago

    Ugh, I got a fair return from buying to AMD right before Ryzen came out. I sold some of it and bought multiple different chip companies so now I have some AMD, some Intel, some NVDA. Oh well, it’s not a huge amount but still sucks. I hope they can come back if only because AMD needs competition to keep them from becoming the evil that old Intel was. I was hoping Intel would also be a viable third GPU competitor, I like my Arc A770 for the price and I’m hoping they don’t kill off the GPU division.

    • Cyborganism@lemmy.ca
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      3 months ago

      I was going to make bank with NVDA then it started to fall. Lost half of my profits and then decided to sell everything. I’m glad I did. In going to wait for some good news before reinvesting.

  • KyuubiNoKitsune@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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    3 months ago

    Fucking good! I know it’s not the primary reason, but it’s by high time that people see laying off 15k people as a bad thing and the company suffering for it.

    • Blackmist@feddit.uk
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      3 months ago

      I fear it’s wishful thinking that the layoffs are what made the stock tank. It’s certainly never hurt anyone else…

        • aesthelete@lemmy.world
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          3 months ago

          The actions we are taking will make Intel a leaner, simpler and more agile company.

          Oof, now agile bullshit talk is infecting the lingo of the c-suite and being used as justification to do layoffs. I should’ve seen that coming, though I must’ve skipped the portion of the agile manifesto that said to choose Lamborghinis over employees.

        • Blackmist@feddit.uk
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          3 months ago

          I think the AI thing has really caught them off guard. There’s a gold rush and they have no real shovels to sell.

          Intel’s only hope now is for the Chinese army to go for a holiday in Taiwan. Their competitors are hugely reliant on TSMC. That’s been brewing forever though, and hopefully will continue to not come to anything. The last thing the world needs right now is more fucking war…

      • dan@upvote.au
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        3 months ago

        layoffs are what made the stock tank

        Yeah, it’s usually the opposite: Layoffs by themselves usually make the stock go up, as the company is reducing their expenses.

        The issue with Intel is that they announced layoffs combined with a bad earnings call, so it’s a sign the company isn’t going so well.

      • fatalicus@lemmy.world
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        3 months ago

        Just a regular stock buy, so up. Lost around 200k so far.

        But he did say he was going to sit on the stocks for some years, so might get some back.

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    3 months ago

    It took long enough for the market to wake up to it. They dragged their ass for what like 10 years without much real innovation. And everyone knew it the whole time. Then Apple ditched them. That alone should have been a huge sign. Apple does not fuck around. They definitely knew Intel had been rotting from the inside out.

    • mrmanager@lemmy.today
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      3 months ago

      Apple likes to control the entire ecosystem, and wanted to make their own processors to make them more efficient and produce less heat. They succeeded too, the M2 and M3 chips are incredible.

      So I think they would have ditched anyone, but Intel probably also made it easier by being so bad. :)

      • forgotmylastusername@lemmy.ml
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        3 months ago

        more efficient and produce less heat

        Which was impossible to do with x86 space heater. Maybe if Intel hadn’t sat idle and actually produced more efficient design. We could be reading about Apples own spin of x86 instead of ARM.

      • Zetta@mander.xyz
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        3 months ago

        You are 200% correct, apple didn’t ditch Intel because Intel, apple did it because apple.